In a surprise move, the Fed made an unscheduled 75 basis points rate cuts, and recently just made another 50 basis points rate cuts. I think this is a fairly aggressive move by the Fed in a bid to lift the economy.
Stock prices are rallying based on some optimism, so that might have some impact on carry trades. But in the long-run, with most people now worrying about a recession, I expect more people to be risk-adverse and carry trades to unwind more.
Overall, I'm still using Elliott Wave Theory as one of my key trading tools.